Dear Advisors,
Advisors with more than 5 years of experience will recall AIC’s “Buy, Hold and Prosper” campaign, based on their attempts to effectively mimmick the performance of Warren Buffet’s hallowed Berkshire Hathaway. Long before the market collapse of late 2008/early 2009, AIC’s investment philosophy resulted in considerable negative performance, massive net redemptions and allowing their competitors to coin the phrase “Buy, Hold and Suffer!” Anecdotally, Berkshire Hathaway’s share price dropped by about 54% in the 2008/9 meltdown…and Warren Buffet bought into “Government Sachs” while it was down with cash held waiting for such buying opportunities…so even the Oracle of Omaha times the market!
Evidence of Buy and Hold’s failure is everywhere. As an example, consider the investment results in the SPY, the ETF that is the cheapest way to own the S&P 500: a Buy and Hold investment approach would have netted you a 10 year return of about -22% in $US terms. Take off the currency losses during that period and you end up with even nastier negative results. And remember 85% or more of mutual fund managers under-perform their benchmarks. After ten years of negative results in the world’s largest capital markets, how can an Advisor tell a Client with a straight face that Buy and Hold actually works? So, if Buy and Hold doesn’t work as well as we Advisors were led to believe by the Investment Industry Establishment (IIE), the alternative is Active Management.
The IIE has led us to believe that all Active Management is a) very risky, b) hard to do well, and c) done mostly by neurotic do-it-yourself investors whose lives are swallowed up by being glued to their screens and trying to compete with full-time trained traders. Positioning all Active Management as a “fringe approach” to investing works to the benefit of the IEE, not necessarily to the Client’s benefit.
Click here to watch a short video on What Mutual Fund Companies Don’t Want You to Know
Unfortunately, the IIE hasn’t been telling Advisors or Clients the whole story. The reality is that Active Management has been utilized by the most sophisticated institutional and private investors for many decades. Stepping out of a falling market shields the investor from further declines, i.e. it reduces Clients’ investment risk AND and their stress. How can that possibly be a bad thing for Clients?
Stepping out of a falling market does reduce risk, but if you get out, at some point you need to get back in for the next rise of that sector. This requires an ability to actively time markets that most Advisors simply don’t have-even if they had the time to do it- and which mutual funds companies don’t want Advisors to do…they’ve even imposed minimum holding periods (30, 60 or 90 day periods are common) and short term trading warnings and potential restrictions for Advisors who violate these rules.
So, if avoiding market risk is good for Clients but the mutual fund regulations have implemented structural controls to prevent it, does this not look like a structural conflict of interest? ETF’s as “Trading Widgets” don’t have these liquidity restrictions and thus completely change the game to the benefit of Clients if they’re effectively actively managed…and it’s about time.
Cheers,
Andrew H. Ruhland, CFP, CSA
Client Centered Advisors